Evaluation and Analysis Award Shortlist

AI Analysis Team

Home Office


The Home Office AI Analysis team in HO Digital, partnering with Home Office Analysis & Insight (HOAI), designed and executed a rigorous evaluation of two innovative AI tools supporting asylum decision-making: the Asylum Case Summarisation (ACS) tool and the Asylum Policy Search (APS) tool. Facing growing backlogs and time pressures, the teams developed a mixed-methods evaluation framework to ensure efficiency gains without compromising decision quality or fairness.

The evaluation used controlled pilots with test and comparison groups, involving over 100 decision-makers and hundreds of real cases. Comprehensive data collection, post-pilot surveys, interviews, and quality assessments verified that ACS reduced transcript review time by 23 minutes per case, while APS saved an average of 37 minutes per case searching policy information. Crucially, analysis confirmed that neither tool negatively affected decision quality or introduced systemic bias.

The project established a replicable framework for responsible AI implementation in high-stakes public service environments, balancing productivity with ethical oversight. Insights informed improvements to the tools ahead of wider rollout and provided clear monitoring recommendations for ongoing evaluation.

Recognised as one of the Prime Minister’s AI Exemplars, this initiative demonstrates analytical excellence, evidence-based innovation, and responsible AI adoption, setting a blueprint for similar technology-driven improvements across government while ensuring fairness, accuracy, and human oversight remain central to decision-making.

NCA Strategic Communications and Child Sexual Abuse (CSA) Partnerships and Education teams

National Crime Agency

The National Crime Agency (NCA) led a pioneering, data-driven campaign targeting teenage boys at risk of financially motivated sexual extortion (FMSE), also called sextortion. FMSE involves criminals threatening to share intimate images of victims unless they pay them money. This poses serious harm to victims, including cases of suicide following threats to release compromising images. Research showed boys aged 15–17 were particularly vulnerable, with 74% unable to understand FMSE.

Using pre-campaign research, behavioural science, and rigorous media evaluation, the NCA designed a targeted campaign that reached 348,000 boys—29% of the UK population of boys in this age group—with over 142 million impressions ( 449% above target). Channel optimisation and behavioural insights enabled cost-effective delivery, saving £32,000 and maintaining an impression cost at just 18% of benchmark levels.

The campaign achieved a 67% reduction in the number of boys who would share a nude image of themselves with strangers online, a 12% increase in awareness of FMSE warning signs, and a 7% improvement in reporting intentions. Visits to the campaign landing page increased by 185%. With an estimated potential saving of £1.46 million to the UK economy and the likelihood of saving at least one life, the campaign demonstrates remarkable social and economic impact.

The project also established a replicable analytical framework for evaluating safeguarding campaigns, combining evidence-based planning, behavioural insights, and rigorous evaluation. This innovative approach sets a new standard for government campaigns addressing sensitive issues, protecting vulnerable groups, and maximising public value.

US Tariff Analysis

HM Treasury and Department for Business and Trade

The Global Economics team at HMT and Trade Modelling Unit at DBT played a pivotal role in analysing the economic impacts of US tariffs, supporting ministers and the UK negotiating team. Using a combination of general and partial equilibrium models, structural and macroeconomic frameworks, and qualitative evidence, the teams provided rapid, high-quality analysis during a period of unprecedented trade uncertainty throughout 2025.

The teams produced timely insights which were instrumental in supporting ministerial decisions, shaping policy and enabling negotiators to secure the UK-US Economic Prosperity Deal. By providing a rigorous, evidence-based framework, the teams have strengthened the UK’s long-term capacity to respond to trade policy shifts and safeguard national economic interests.